COLLABORATIVE CREATIVITY

Robert Tercek’s views on innovation in the digital domain

Random photo by Robert Tercek

What’s next after 3D TV? Get ready for Holographic TV

July 18th, 2010 · General Observations

Wait! Before you rush out to Best Buy to replace your still-kinda-new high-def flat-screen TV with a not-quite-ready-for-primetime 3DTV, take a moment to consider what comes next: holographic TV viewing. Should you hold out and wait?

Researchers at Japan’s National Institute of Information and Communications Technology are preparing for a public demonstration of hologram video in Tokyo in October. The researchers estimate that the system will require the processing power of four computers plus three LCDs and and optical lasers, as well as “a thousand times or more resolution than current high-definition systems”. So the consumer-ready version is unlikely to show up at your local electronics store for 15 to 20 years.

Okay, now you can rush out and purchase that 3DTV you’ve been craving, knowing that you have at least 15 years to enjoy wearing goggles before it feels outdated. Enjoy!

Here’s the link to the Variety story:
http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118021864.html?categoryid=2526&cs=1

Posted via email from Think Twice

→ No CommentsTags:

Exposing the phony bombast behind Big Cable’s “TV Everywhere” initiative

July 12th, 2010 · General Observations

During my speech at the NAB convention in April, I expressed my view that the future of TV is empathically not “TV Everywhere”,  referring to the cross-platform concept promoted by major Cable MSOs  which is 1/3 hype, 1/3 bombast, and 1/3 fantasy.

Here comes more testimony to support that assertion.

Yesterday, Frost and Sullivan analyst Dan Rayburn ripped the slick packaging off the TV Everywhere concept and exposed it as a charade.   The trigger for Rayburn’s commentary was the announcement over the weekend by Comcast that they will raise rates for the second time in a year to cover the cost of their new digital services.   

What’s the issue?   Consumers are unwilling to pay for the Fancast Xfinity service in its current form.    As Rayburn explains “The entire reason why Comcast doesn’t charge a monthly fee for Fancast XFinity TV is because they know they won’t get enough people to pay to cover the cost of the service.  So instead they raise rates even for those who don’t even use the service.”

Rayburn says:  ”If the service was popular and considered valuable, then consumers would pay for it and it would be a profitable business, but that’s not going to happen with TV Everywhere.”

Moreover, Rayburn asserts that “very few MSOs are going to be in a position to offer TV Everywhere services,”  pointing out that 17 of the top 25 MSOs in the United States have less than 1M subscribers each.   The economics of TV Everywhere simply don’t work for an MSO of that size.

Check it out.  It’s worthwhile reading Dan’s blog:  

Posted via email from Think Twice

→ No CommentsTags:

Why do innovation teams fail?

July 10th, 2010 · General Observations

At a time when margins are tight and disruption occurs on a daily basis, business leaders are under pressure to discover the “next big thing”, such as a breakthrough product that will redefine a category or create an entirely new niche to dominate.  A new process that will save time and money.  A radical efficiency that will restore fat margins.

But companies tend to suffer from a common defect.   Their innovation teams routinely fail. It’s not bad luck, and it’s no accident.   It’s chronic and it is entirely predictable.

I’ve advised big companies and tiny startup ventures on innovation process for two decades.  I’ve learned to identify some of the structural defects that doom the creative process from the start.   The good news:  there are proven solutions.  But they require strong leadership.

Why innovation teams fail:

1. Organized resistance.
The seeds of the innovation team’s demise are sown before the project even begins.  Most companies begin with a lousy creative environment.  Take a look around.  Does the place have cubicles and fluorescent overhead lighting panels in a drop ceiling?  There’s your clue.   Is the conference room windowless, airless, colorless and stale?  The more structured and traditional the company, the less likely the organization is to welcome a major breakthrough that disrupts the status quo.    Resistance to creative thinking is built into the very structure of the company.

Remember, the top priority of every organization is to preserve the organization.  Doesn’t matter if it’s a company or a charity or a school.   Doesn’t matter what the stated mission or objective of the organization is.   Once an organization gets started, it will naturally seek self-preservation as its first priority.  Which means that running the business, or meeting business objectives, or winning new markets, or coming up with killer products, are all secondary to the task of self-preservation.  

So any change or new initiative that threatens the existing organization (in whole or in part) will likely encounter a reflexive opposition from the bureaucracy.    Don’t be surprised if nobody is aware of this dynamic.   It’s  an entirely unconscious reaction, like an auto-immune system response.   The corporate antibodies flood the new idea and snuff it out.

The solution is to cultivate a culture that welcomes change and celebrates new ideas loudly and proudly.   Any organization that promotes efficiency & stability over innovation & design will find this very challenging.

2.  Responsibility without authority
A creative team sailing in uncharted waters towards an unknown destination is bound to fail.   Much of the fault for the failure of innovation teams can be chalked up to poorly defined objectives and a lack of upfront commitment to accept the recommendation that will be delivered at the end of the process.   

Managers often fob the responsibility for innovation onto the shoulders of a small team (marketers, designers, engineers) but unless the rest of the organization is committed to their success, the small team is doomed.    They just don’t have the authority to make their recommendations stick.

What’s needed at the outset is a mandate that includes a concise definition of the problem and commitment to follow through and implement the recommended solution.   How many business leaders do you know who are willing to make that commitment… and then are willing to delegate the responsibility to a team of subordinates?   

Unsurprisingly, most executives reserve the right to make the final call.   Thereby rendering the innovation team toothless.   And before they make their decision, the executive in change will typically cycle it past managers of other departments (business affairs, HR, legal, finance) to review the recommendation and provide comments.    The result:  death by a thousand cuts.  It’s just too easy to nitpick a new idea and discover a flaw.   There is no downside to telling the CEO why the new idea just won’t work.

In such a situation, the innovation team has been given the responsibility for initiating the change process without the authority to bring it to completion.   Guaranteed fail.

The solution is clear but it requires heroic leadership.   The CEO designates a team which is empowered to make recommendations and implement them.  And the CEO requires every  department in the bureaucracy to support the team, with penalties for resistance.   And then the CEO must actively and frequently reiterate his support of the team and their recommendations.  This sounds drastic, but it’s the way that legendary CEOs get new products to market.

3.  Lack of self-awareness.
Coming up with new ideas is one thing:  selling them is another.   Very few people are good at both.   Brilliant minds tend to see innovation in such stark terms that the merits are self-evident, with no salesmanship necessary.   But those who did not participate in the innovation process might lack context to understand the new ideas:  unless an effort is made to get them up to speed, resistance is sure to follow.  

Self-awareness is the capacity to observe one’s own strengths and weaknesses realistically.  Self-awareness is a crucial skill in managing relationships successfully.   But few companies provide support or guidance to employees who wish to gain a better understanding of themselves.   Consider how most companies penalize employees for cultivating self-awareness:

* Performance reviews are given infrequently, and tend to focus overwhelmingly on shortcomings instead of areas of strength.  Employees get a very skewed impression of themselves in such reviews.
* No one has ever been rewarded for admitting a weakness in a corporate setting.
* Requesting time to attend a training session or skills seminar is often perceived as a boondoggle, or a dodge to avoid work.

As a result, self-awareness is in chronic short supply in most corporations.  And yet, the ability of the innovation team to convince the organization to adopt their recommendations depends entirely upon mutual self awareness and empathy.

Selling innovation tends to involve an element amateur psychology.   It requires a fair talent for persuasion, to convince people to see what they’ve been unable to perceive previously without making them feel inadequate or weak or defensive.  It’s quite common to see executives react with ego defenses:  they may become loud or grouchy or irritable when confronted with new ideas and new information;  they may reject the ideas, or grow suddenly competitive, turning the presentation into a debate or, worse, a trial.   This is a common reaction.

There are solutions for this problem, too.  And again, it’s best handled upfront, early in the process.  Many “innovation process consultants” rely on personality tests and psychometric tools to provide all participants with an objective view of their strengths and weaknesses (or, more diplomatically, “thinking styles”).   

A common tactic is to begin the process with a level-setting exercise in which every participant (including the boss!) learns what psychological “type” they are.   And the facilitator reminds everyone that all types of creativity are valued (read:  even critical, judgemental and negative perspectives have a positive role in the creative cycle!).   Which means that all participants have an equal role in the authorship of the final outcome.

I’m familiar with two programs that are designed to address this issue and, in my experience, work quite well.

The first, designed by Dr Min Basadur of Toronto, is called Simplex.   What I particularly like is the way that the thinking skills are aligned to the creative process.   Typically, when a participant takes the Simplex profile evaluation, he or she will discover that they have a unique blend of all four thinking styles.   This is a smart psychological trick:  it makes each person feel unique and yet connected to the others.   And the Simplex process has a special place for each thinking style, so nobody is left out of the process.  Learn about Dr Basadur’s profile here:  http://www.basadurprofile.com

The second is called the Kirton Adaption – Innovation Theory (KAI).   Dr Kirton’s concept is that all humans are problem solvers, and creativity is a subset of problem-solving, so therefore all humans are creative.   But creativity skills are not uniform:  they are distributed along a continuum ranging from Adapative to Innovative.    Innovators relish breakthroughs and welcome radical change, whereas Adaptive people tend to prefer structure and moderate incremental change.  http://www.kaicentre.com/OK.htm     Many of the petty personality conflicts that arise during the creative process can be attributed to the different thinking styles of Adaptive and Innovative personalities, so it’s useful to be aware of them and learn the techniques for embracing both inputs.

It takes a bold leader to recommend that the entire team take a test to identify creative strengths and weaknesses, but the result is a noticeable improvement in the tone, tenor and success of the teams.

Posted via email from Think Twice

→ No CommentsTags:

Insights from Google’s 216-page analysis of Social Media

July 10th, 2010 · General Observations

Here we are, in low foothills of the second century of electronic media, and already the slogan “All media will be social media” has evolved from a rallying cry into a humdrum truism. But social media remains elusive and rather hard to define, primarily because human social interaction is so complex, varying by context and by situation, and also because of the rapid evolution of social software. Even though it is fairly obvious that two-way conversations will become an embedded feature of every media object, many media companies have struggled to find the best path towards integrating social features into their content offerings.

No company’s travails have been more widely publicized and studied than Google’s. The internet giant failed several times in their efforts to launch groundbreaking social features. The list of over-hyped and underwhelming social features includes Google Answers, Orkut, Wave and Buzz. Nevertheless, Google remains determined to embrace the social web.

Take a look at Google’s sprawling 216 page slideshow about social media and friends networks. There is a lot of useful insight in these pages.

* Multi-faceted identity
* Context-specific groups of friends
* Life stage friends lists
* The tension between privacy and collaborative sharing

Get the Atlantic story here plus a link to the full set of slides from Google.

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/07/2-lessons-from-googles-21…

Posted via email from Think Twice

→ 1 CommentTags:

What’s up at the Humanity+ Summit at Harvard this weekend

June 12th, 2010 · General Observations

I agreed to participate at the Humanity+ summit this weekend at Harvard University despite the fact that it required me to duck out early from my 25th Reunion at Williams College. Why?

I am fundamentally convinced that the Humanity+ movement represents the single biggest opportunity in our lifetime. Indeed, it may present the occasion to radically revise our concept of what a “lifetime” means. The movement, variously know as transhumanism, singulatarianism, the post-human program and so on, considers the potential impact upon humanity of several rapidly-evolving technologies and scientific disciplines, including nanotechnology and materials science, life science and bio tech, information technology and computer science, artifical intelligence and robotics; and more. The combined impact of these and other technologies will alter our life experience more profoundly than any previous innovation. Human lifespan, intelligence, mental and physical capabilities will be dramatically enhanced and extended by the application of technology to biology. And these changes are likely coming much sooner than most people expect.

The progress is spectacular. And the ideas are at once inspiring and bewildering. It’s an area ripe for speculation and debate. And that’s what’s going on this weekend at the H+ Summit in Cambridge. Tomorrow morning I will give my speech, titled “What Geeks Can Learn From Gurus; Lessons for Transhumanists from the Self Help Experts”. I am planning to draw examples from the Personal Development movement to encourage the H+ movement to do a better job of explaining what the movement is about, what it stands for, and how they engage with the general public. RT
Boston, Massachusetts

Robert@(ercek.com
HTTP://roberttercek.com

Sorry about the typos Sent from my BlackBerry

Posted via email from Think Twice

→ No CommentsTags:

Major Breakthrough: Will HP’s “memristor” innovation lead to an artificial brain?

April 10th, 2010 · General Observations

This week HP announced a significant breakthrough:   devices that use a new chip design called the “memristor” that supplants the transistor-based designs of current semiconductors.

This 3D chip could be a major breakthrough, introducing a new era of radically smaller, faster and more energy-efficient microprocessors.   In fact, this design would [Read more →]

→ 1 CommentTags:

Android TV! Google, Intel and Sony join forces in web-to-TV battle to bring Android to the living room

March 18th, 2010 · General Observations

Lately, speculation about the future of television has been dominated by news of 3D TV sets. But another aspect of television has been quietly evolving with less fanfare: TV sets that connect directly to the Internet. This trend is potentially much more disruptive than the introduction of 3D displays.Now a secret joint effort by Google, Intel and Sony to enter this field in partnership has been revealed. It will bring Google’s Android operating system and Chrome browser to TVs and set top boxes. [Read more →]

→ 2 CommentsTags:

Prediction: Hard Bound Books will be Finished by 2016

March 8th, 2010 · General Observations

The big debate this weekend in my home had nothing to do with movies or directors even though it’s Oscar season. Instead, we speculated about the future of the book.Specifically, i bet my dinner companions an unreasonable amount on the following proposition: within five years, publishers would be unable to afford to print hard bound editions of most new books. And so, they would choose not to publish them at all in the traditional form. Hundreds of years of print history will come to an end. [Read more →]

→ 4 CommentsTags:

Separating fact and fiction on Adobe Flash, HTML5 and plug-in-free video

February 6th, 2010 · General Observations

Will HTML5 make Adobe Flash irrelevant? Maybe someday but not soon.
There’s been a lot of speculative chatter lately about HTML5 as a replacement for Adobe Flash, fueled by Steve Jobs’ dark pronouncements during the splashy launch of the iPad. And recent reports about HTML5 video experiments by YouTube and Vimeo added to the brouhaha. [Read more →]

→ 2 CommentsTags:

Conan O’Brien and the end of television as we know it. With music and dancing! (sort of)

January 27th, 2010 · General Observations

→ No CommentsTags: